Corelogic sees a 4.1% leap in housing prices in 2025
Are you trying to find out what is happening with Housing market prices In early 2025? You are not alone! The real estate market may seem like a roller coaster, and maintaining the latest trends is crucial, whether it is buying, selling or simply monitoring its investment. Here are the good news: Experts predict a 4.1% increase in national housing prices at the end of 2025, compared to December 2024. Let's make a deeper immersion and see what is shaping the market at this time and what we can expect in the coming months. Housing market forecast: Corelogic sees a 4.1% leap in housing prices in 2025 A look back in 2024: stable but not spectacular 2024 was a year of moderation in the real estate market. We saw a little more inventory than in the previous years, which meant that buyers had some more options. However, the demand remained soft due to factors such as higher mortgage rates. As a result, the price growth was stable, but not as explosive as we saw during the pandemic peak. According Corelogicalhousing prices throughout the country, including sales in difficultiesIt increased 3.4% year after year in December 2024. While that is a decent gain, it is far from the two -digit appreciation we experienced only a few years ago. About a month, prices barely moved, increasing only 0.03% in December. Source: Corelogic 2024 key control: Moderate growth: The appreciation of the price of housing was slowed compared to previous years. Inventory improvement: Buyers had a little more available options. Regional differences: Some areas experienced a stronger growth. What is feeding the forecast by 2025? So what is behind the projection of an increase of 4.1% in housing prices by the end of 2025? Several factors are at stake: The spring shopping season: The real estate market tends to heat up in spring, since families seek to move before the new school year begins. This greater demand could exert upward pressure on prices. Limited inventory: While the inventory improved in 2024, it is still below historical averages in many markets. Housing scarcity for sale can generate higher prices. Economic factors: The general health of the economy plays a role. If the economy remains stable or improves, it could boost consumer confidence and lead to greater housing purchase activity. However, it is important to remember that these are only forecasts. Unforeseen events, such as a sudden increase in interest rates or a great economic recession, could certainly change perspective. Regional variations: Where do prices go? The real estate market is rarely uniform throughout the country. What is happening in a city or state can be very different from what is happening in another. In December 2024, we saw significant regional variations in the growth of the housing price: NORTS STRONG: States like Connecticut (7.8%more) and New Jersey (7.7%) He experienced some of the strongest earnings of the year after year. This is due in large part to the limited inventory in these areas. Hawaii and delayed DC: At the other end of the spectrum, Hawaii and the Columbia district saw decreases in the price of housing of -1.1% and -0.7%, respectively. Southern markets adjustment: Some southern markets are readjusting the highest inventories and the increase in the costs of variable mortgages. Mountain West stabilizing: Mountain West is trying to find stability after experiencing significant price changes in recent years. Housing price changes year after year by state (December 2024) State Change (%) Connecticut 7.8 New Jersey 7.7 Hawaii -1.1 D.C. -0.7 Main metropolitan areas: winners and losers Looking at specific subway areas, we also see a mixed results bag. Chicago leads the package: In December 2024, Chicago He published the highest gain year after year among the 10 main meters, with 5.6%. Other strong artists: Boston, Washington and Miami also saw a solid appreciation of prices. Phoenix cooling: In contrast, Phoenix It experienced a more modest growth, which reflects the attempt of the market to stabilize. Housing price changes year after year by select subway areas (December 2024) Metropolitan area Change (%) Chicago 5.6 Boston 4.8 Washington 4.4 Miami 4.0 Los Angeles 4.1 San Diego 3.2 Phoenix 2.5 Denver 1.7 Houston 3.4 Las Vegas 5.0 Markets at risk: where prices could fall While most areas are expected to see prices in 2025, some markets are considered to have a higher risk of decrease. Corelogic's Market Risk Indicator (MRI) identifies the areas where the real estate market can be overheated or vulnerable to economic shocks. According to magnetic resonance, the following subway areas are in Very high risk of the price of housing decreases in the next 12 months: Provo -orem, ut: This area has a 70%probability of a price decrease. Tucson, Az: Also with very high risk. Albuquerque, Nm: Another market to see carefully. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Az: Continuing with its cooling trend. West Palm Beach-Boca Mouse-Delray Beach, FL: A surprise entry on this list. The five main US markets at risk of decreased annual prices (December 2024) Range Metropolitan area Risk level of price decrease Trust score 1 Provoorem, ut Very high (70%+) 50-75% 2 Tucson, Az Very high (70%+) 50-75% 3 Albuquerque, nm Very high (70%+) 50-75% 4 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Az Very high (70%+) 50-75% 5 West Palm Beach-Boca Mouse-Delray Beach, FL Very high (70%+) 50-75% If you are considering buying or selling in one of these areas, it is especially important to do your research and consult with a local real estate professional. Source: Corelogic Factors beyond numbers: forest fires and tariffs The numbers paint a general picture, but it is crucial to understand the events of the real world that can influence the real estate market. As the main economist of Corelogic, Dr. Selma Hepp, factors such as proposed tariffs and natural disasters can have a significant impact. Duty: The possibility of new tariffs on imported construction materials could increase construction costs, which would inevitably be transmitted to housing buyers. Forest fires: Events such as devastating forest fires in Los Angeles County
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